Fallen Hero + mozna TV star

V poslednych dnoch pisem zriedkavejsie, lebo som rozbehany kade a tade, ale aspon dve veci, ktore ma celkom pobavili.

Nasrallah, hviezda jasna Hizballahu, prisiel so znicujucou sebakritikou :-)

We did not think, even one percent, that the capture (of the two soldiers) would lead to a war at this time and of this magnitude," said Nasrallah. "You ask me, if I had known on July 11... that the operation would lead to such a war, would I do it? I say no, absolutely not."

Cize ani unos vojaka v Gaze a nasledujuce izraelske operacie ho na izraelsku odpoved nepripravili. Ako by povedali Americania: He didn't do his homework.

Navyse, mal som ten dojem, ze pred casom Hizballah nieco hovoril o velkom vitazstve. Alebo sa mi to iba zdalo?

Kazdopadne, mozno si mal zahryznut do jazyka. Uz ani u svojich arabskych bratov nie je bohvieakym prorokom.

Neviem preco, ale pri pisani tohto si mimovolne pospevujem Yalla ya Nasrallah :-)

Hviezdi aj momentalne uplne najjasnejsia star moslimskeho neba.

"I suggest holding a live TV debate with Mr George W Bush to talk about world affairs and the ways to solve those issues," Mr Ahmadinejad told reporters.

"The debate should be uncensored in order for the American people to be able to listen to what we say and they should not restrict the American people from hearing the truth."

No, o to, ze by tu debatu vysielali na Zapade, by som sa nebal. Skor by ma zaujimalo, ci by ju necenzurovanu pustili aj v Irane.

Ale pozrel by som si to velmi rad, dufam, ze Bush zodvihne hodenu rukavicu :-)

PS. Pravdepodobne sa zase na par dni odmlcim.

Posted by: skMarine at 22:02 | link | comments (1)
iran, middle east

Syria odkryla karty

Rozmiestnenie UNIFILu na hraniciach medzi Libanonom a Syriou bude Damask povazovat za nepriatelsky akt.

"First, this means creating hostile conditions between Syria and Lebanon," Mr Assad told Dubai Television, according to excerpts released ahead of the interview's airing later tonight. "Second, it is a hostile move toward Syria and naturally it will create problems."

Asad sa vyhraza, ze ked k rozmiestneniu jednotiek OSN dojde, uzavrie hranicu.

Da sa to prelozit ako: Ked nemozu ist nase zbrane Hizballahu, nepojde do Libanonu nic?

Kedze hranica so Syriou je momentalne jedine miesto, ktorym moze Libanon ako tak komunikovat so svetom, aspon je vidiet, ako Asadovi zalezi na Libanoncanoch.

Posted by: skMarine at 21:39 | link | comments (2)
middle east

Ahmadinedzadovu rodinu nemali radi

Iransky prezident ma svoj blog.

Ale ocividne som bud nieco nepochopil, alebo by si Mahmud mal zaobstarat lepsich prekladatelov do anglictiny.

"Upon the enforcement of the land reform, the status of the villages became worst than the past and villagers for earning some breadcrumbs, they were deceived by the dazzling look and the misleading features of the cities and became suburban and lived in ghettos.
My family was also suffered in the village as others."

prekladam to spravne ako: "Moja rodina bola tiez trpena v dedine, ako ostatni"?

Posted by: skMarine at 21:29 | link | comments
iran

Rezolucia 1701 o Libanone

Uplny text rezolucie sa da najst tu.

Hamilton cituje celkom rozumne vyjadrenie slovenskeho zastupcu v BR OSN. Slovensko bolo spolunavrhovatelom rezolucie.

Velmi dobra analyza, ktora poukazuje na slabe body, je v Jerusalem Poste.

Analyza je izraelska a preto nemozno od nej cakat uplne objektivny pohlad na vec, ale inak je velmi dobra.

Zaujimave je najma toto zistenie:

But the central contradiction in the document is between OP11 and OP12. OP11 basically makes UNIFIL action dependent on the Lebanese government asking for help. In other words, only if the government asks UNIFIL to fight against terrorists in southern Lebanon or interdict arms smuggling can it act.

rezolucia skutocne spomina toto:

Calls upon the government of Lebanon to secure its borders and other entry points to prevent the entry in Lebanon without its consent of arms or related materiel and requests Unifil as authorised in paragraph 11 to assist the government of Lebanon at its request.

Pre vyvazenie som hladal nejaku analyzu rezolucie z pohladu druhej strany, ale zatial som nic nenasiel.

Vyhlasenie Nasrallaha sa da precitat tu, nezda sa, ze by sa chceli vzdavat zbrani. Hizballah totiz neuznava, ze farmy Siba nie su libanonske a tak bude mat stale zamienku na odpor. Podla OSN su farmy Siba syrskym okupovanym uzemim.

Nasrallah:

As long as there is Israeli military activity and an Israeli attack on the ground, and as long as Israeli soldiers occupy our land, it is our natural right to confront and fight them, and to defend our lands, our homes, and ourselves. Naturally, therefore, as long as the Israelis continue their occupation and aggression, resistance is our natural right and the right of the entire Lebanese people. We will carry out this resistance, in any way that we consider to be efficient and effective.

Posted by: skMarine at 18:07 | link | comments
israel

OSN ma sancu ukazat svoje opodstatnenie

Update 12.8.: rezolucia 1701 bola prijata a jej text je tu


Takze breaking news su, ze Bezpecnostna rada sa dohodla.

Navrh rezolucie vyzera celkom dobre, i ked mohol byt viazany na kapitolu 7 Charty OSN. Kedze to by asi bolo pre Libanon a viacere staty BR neprijatelne, tento navrh je celkom dobry. Je az prekvapujuce, ze ho podporili Francuzi :-)

tu su zasadne body, kedze zatial nemam k dispozicii oficialny text, toto je len podla informacii BBC, Wash Post, NY Times a Reuters.

According to reports, the new draft calls for "a full cessation of hostilities based upon... the immediate cessation by Hezbollah of all attacks and the immediate cessation by Israel of all offensive military operations".

Zadrhelom, ktory este moze nieco skomplikovat je ponechanie formulacie "utocne vojenske operacie" Izraela. To by v podstate znamenalo, ze Izraela sa to netyka, kedze jeho operacie su obranne (podla Iz). To bola navyse jedna z veci, na ktorych zlyhal predchadzajuci navrh.
Vysvetlovat by to mohlo toto:

Ambassadors drafting a resolution to halt the fighting in Lebanon reported agreement today on a measure calling for a full cessation of hostilities, deploying Lebanese and United Nations forces in southern Lebanon, and calling upon Israel to withdraw its forces “in parallel.”

... ak sa tym mysli, ze stahovanie Izraela sa zacne s prichodom prveho vojaka Unifil (ktori tam uz v podstate su) a bude postupne pokracovat. Izrael spociatku pozadoval, ze sa stiahne az ked tam jednotky OSN uz budu. Povodny navrh ziadne paralelne stahovanie neobsahoval.

It is also said to authorise "an increase in the force strength of Unifil [the UN peacekeeping force in south Lebanon] to a maximum of 15,000 troops".

Tento bod mozno povazovat za vitazstvo Izraela, ktory od zaciatku pozadoval silne medzinarodne jednotky a nie len statistov ako je sucasny Unifil.

The resolution extends Unifil’s mandate a year and empowers it to take action “to insure that its area of operations is not utilized for hostile activities of any kind” and “to resist attempts by forceful means to prevent if from discharging its duties.”

Tento bod je dost diskutabilny, kedze rezolucia ma byt podla Kapitoly VI a nie VII. a tym padom pod pojem akcia podla mna nespada vojenska akcia a vynucovanie si plnenia rezolucie silou. Tu sa moze ukazat, ci je OSN na nieco dobre a ci dokaze veci naozaj poriesit. I ked na tak malom uzemi ako je juzny Libanon by 15000 vojakov mohlo Hizballahu zabranit konat uz len svojou pritomnostou. Kazdopadne ho treba hodnotit kladne a je to jeden z najsilnejsich bodov celeho navrhu.

The zone the new joint force will be responsible for extends from the Blue Line border of Israel and Lebanon to the Litani River, roughly 15 miles to the north. That zone would be declared free of all “armed personnel, assts and weapons other than those of the government of Lebanon and Unifil.”

Toto ziadal Izrael od zaciatku - stiahnutie Hizballahu za rieku Litani a je to vlastne splnenie podmienok prveho navrhu na primerie kratko po vypuknuti konfliktu.

The draft resolution calls for the causes of the current conflict to be addressed "urgently," including the "unconditional release of the two Israeli soldiers abducted on July 12 that triggered the hostilities. In the next paragraph of the draft resolution, the Security Council would be "mindful" of the issue of Lebanese prisoners detained in Israel and calls for "urgently settling" that problem.

Toto bude zaujimave. Ak Hizballah bude musiet prepustit tych dvoch vojakov, som zvedavy, ako to uhra na vitazstvo. Naopak, tato formulacia nie je pre Izrael velmi zavazna. Pravdepodobne prepusti len zopar Libanoncanov a ostatnych si ponecha ako teroristov.

The draft resolution further calls for the disarming of all remaining militias in Lebanon, under terms of the Taif Accord that ended the Lebanese civil war in 1990.

Toto je vynutenie si rezolucie BR 1559. Na toto som tiez zvedavy, kedze tu Hiz celkom odignoroval. Zbrani sa pravdepodobne nebude chciet vzdat ani teraz.

The resolution also mandates an international arms embargo on any military equipment destined for Lebanon that is not going to the Lebanese Army. The draft resolution also requests that U.N. Secretary General Kofi Annan develop proposals to solve the issue of Shebaa Farms.

Najvacsia zmena oproti povodnemu navrhu je vypustenie tohto odstavca:

... to authorize in a further resolution under Chapter VII of the Charter the deployment of a UN mandated international force to support the Lebanese armed forces and government in providing a secure environment and contribute to the implementation of a permanent ceasefire and a long-term solution;

aky je v tom rozdiel?

Kapitola VI hovori o pacific settlement of disputes a v podstate v ziadom zo svojich siestich clankov nehovori o pouziti sily ako donucovacieho prostriedku.

The parties to any dispute, the continuance of which is likely to endanger the maintenance of international peace and security, shall, first of all, seek a solution by negotiation, enquiry, mediation, conciliation, arbitration, judicial settlement, resort to regional agencies or arrangements, or other peaceful means of their own choice.

V praxi to znamena, ze ak sa Hiz na celu diplomaciu vykasle a bude vystrelovat rakety spoza Litani, sily OSN budu mat obmedzenu moznost konania a bude sa treba vratit zase k rokovaniam. To Izraelu velmi vyhovovat nemoze.

naopak, kapitola VII. umoznuje pouzitie priamo sily

Should the Security Council consider that measures provided for in Article 41 would be inadequate or have proved to be inadequate, it may take such action by air, sea, or land forces as may be necessary to maintain or restore international peace and security. Such action may include demonstrations, blockade, and other operations by air, sea, or land forces of Members of the United Nations.

Doteraz ale bola Kapitola VII pouzita len v malo pripadoch (pdf)

Posted by: skMarine at 23:17 | link | comments (4)
israel

Neproporcna vojna. A?

: Palestincan Ahmad Samih Khalidi, autor frameworku pre palestinsku obrannu doktrinu sa v Guardiane rozculuje, ze izraelske utoky nezodpovedaju tym hizbalahovskym.

Uz pomerne otrepana tema, ale obsahuje niekolko dobrych konspiracnych teorii.

Takze pekne od zaciatku:

As Lebanon is brought to its knees, and Israeli leaders promise yet more of the same, there is something truly extraordinary about the manner in which the war on Lebanon is being portrayed as a war for Israel's survival, as if it were the existence of the Jewish state that were at risk.

Autor, ktory v neskorsich riadkoch vidi rozne strategie do buducnosti si nie je schopny uvedomit jednu vec: ano, Izraelu naozaj ide o existenciu. Sila Izraela v poslednych desatrociach nelezi len v jeho vojenskej dominancii, ale je aj psychologicka. Vitazstva Izraela v doterajsich vojnach sposobili, ze jeho susedia su presvedceni o jeho neporazitelnosti - a preto uprednostnuju tichu nenavist a spolu - zitie (ta pomlcka je tam umyselne).

A teraz si predstavme, ze by a) Izrael nereagoval na unos vojakov nijako. Hizballah, ale aj Hamas by dostali lahky navod, ako dalej.

b) Izrael by bol nuteny stiahnut sa bez mimoriadneho uspechu. Imidz neporazitelnosti by sa stratil. Kadejaky vymlety pako na Blizkom vychode by si mohol pomysliet, ze uspech Hizballahu moze zopakovat a Izrael by sa dostal do krizovej palby. A tento raz nie state actors ale teroristov ala Hiz. Cize, existencia Izraela je v ohrozeni, pretoze tisic mravcov slona zozerie.

Hizballah bude aj tak hovorit o svojom vitazstve, no skody, ktore na nom Izrael moze zanechat, mnohych od opakovania tohto postupu odradia.


Ano, Hizballah bude aj tak tvrdit, ze tento konflikt vyhral, no skody, ktore mu Izrael sposobuje, budu mat rovnako odstrasujuci vyznam.

Whatever else it may be, this is a war between palpable unequals: a giant nuclear-armed power with the most advanced western military hardware and a potential ground force of up to 650,000 trained men, against a tiny third-world guerrilla force of around 5,000 fighters, armed largely with second-hand former eastern bloc hardware (the first Katyusha rockets were developed in the early 1940s) and castoffs from Iran and Syria. The idea that the latter can pose an existential threat to the former, under any foreseeable circumstances, is risible at best and disingenuous at worst.

Na to snad staci par slov. Vietnam. Afganistan. Irak. A viacere staty, ktorych cele armady si nevedia poradit s gerilou. Nejde o vyzbroj a pocet muzov, ide o taktiku.

The opposite side of this coin is that while Israel's hi-tech "surgical strikes" have killed hundreds more civilians than Hizbullah fighters, the Lebanese resistance's low-tech weapons have killed about three times as many Israeli soldiers as civilians.

Autor je Palestincan, takze vie, ako to funguje. Ak strielam na vojensky tabor, ktory je mimo obyvanych uzemi, zasiahnem koho? Spravne, vojakov. Ak som terorista a vystrelujem rakety zo satnika svojej mamy a dopadne mi tam odvetna raketa, zasiahne koho? A kto za to moze?
To, ze Libanon ma civilnych mrtvych je fakt, ktoremu sa Izrael snazi predist. To, ze civilni mrtvy su aj na juh od hranice, je umysel Hizballahu.

What Israel now seeks is less of a secure border, and more of a major rearrangement of the Lebanese domestic scene that will crush resistance not only in Lebanon, but by extension in Palestine as well, and wherever else it may exist across the seething Arab Muslim world.

Spravne, a to mal Izrael spravit uz davno.Politicka scena, kde jedinym programom vladnej strany je znicenie svojho suseda v civilizovanom svete nema co hladat.

Depopulation is a longstanding Israeli expedient, used sometimes for grand strategic purposes, as in the 1948 war in Palestine, and at other times for less grandiose aims...

Pan Palestincan, kto zacal tu vojnu v roku 1948?

The draft effectively gives immunity to Israel's occupying forces, denies Hizbullah, or any other Lebanese party, the right to resist the continued violation of Lebanese sovereignty and soil, says not a word about an Israeli withdrawal, and does nothing to bring the population back to their homes and thus safeguard Lebanon's domestic balance and political future.

Autor opat raz zabudol, kto tuto vojnu zacal. Cize podla rezolucie Hizballah nema pravo na odpor voci porusovaniu libanonskej suverenity a uzemia. Mysli tym autor, ze na unos vojakov z Izraela a strielanie rakiet uz Hiz pravo mal?

The only conclusion must be that the real purpose of the British-backed Franco-US manoeuvre is a deliberate and calculated western attempt to rescue Israel's ill-conceived war from the jaws of political and moral defeat. It is also meant to threaten the Lebanese with dire consequences for refusing to rise up against the party that is defending their very soil and homes. And it is further intended to send a message to Tehran and Damascus that those who act with such violence in Lebanon, as well as Gaza, Iraq, Afghanistan and elsewhere, are ready to do the same in Iran and Syria as well.

Ano a konecne Zapad neuteka pred poziadavkami ubohych ukrivdenych teroristov.

Far from being a war for its survival, Israel has by its actions over the past month only increased the long-term threat to its own security

Khalidi vie. Podla neho a jemu podobnych jediny sposob, akym si Izrael moze udobrit svojich arabskych susedov, by bola druha Masada.

Hovorit o proporcnej a neproporcnej vojne je totiz hlupost. Ziadna vojna nie je proporcna. Ten, kto vyhra, byva obycajne silnejsi alebo strategickejsie uvazujuci - cize neproporcnost je tam uz by definiton. To, ze zomieraju libanonski civilisti, je smutne a odsudeniahodne. Ale hlavnych zodpovednych treba hladat na severnej strane hranice. Sanci na mier dostali uz dost. Vysmiali sa im.

Posted by: skMarine at 19:36 | link | comments (1)
israel

... a tu rakety

zda sa, ze Adnan Hajj, freelance fotograf pre Reuters v Libanone sa minul povolanim.

Mal byt radsej grafik.

Nie vzdy, co vidime ako verny obraz skutocnosti, vernym obrazom skutocnosti naozaj je.

Adnan Hajj ocividne sfotosopoval aj dalsiu zo svojich fotografii.

viac k tomu a analyzu fotografii najdete tu

Este k povodnemu obrazku: Hajj sa ukazal aj ako neschopny priznat si vlastnu vinu.

"Reuters has discussed the incident with the photographer. The photographer has denied deliberately attempting to manipulate the image, saying that he was trying to remove dust marks and that he made mistakes due to the bad lighting conditions he was working under," said Moira Whittle, the head of public relations for Reuters."  (via journalism.co.uk)

ze by to ani s tou Kanou nebolo tak ako sa nam Hizballah snazi nahovorit?

Posted by: skMarine at 14:19 | link | comments (1)
israel

Tu pridame trochu dymu, tu trochu mrtvol...

Libanonsky fotograf objavil Photoshop. Hned tie "zverstva" Izraela vyzeraju este horsie!

Este stastie, ze je len ubohym zaciatocnikom.

via TB

Posted by: skMarine at 20:55 | link | comments (1)
israel

Senat sa zblaznil?

bez komentara

US Senate wants no pet left behind in disasters
In the wake of haunting images of pets left behind in flooded New Orleans, the U.S. Senate passed a bill on Friday requiring local and state disaster agencies to take pets and service animals into account in their emergency planning.
The Senate approved the bill by unanimous consent in the early hours before recessing for its summer break.
The House of Representatives passed a similar bill in May and differences must be worked out before the legislation is sent to President George W. Bush.
Wayne Pacelle, president of the Humane Society of the United States, called the measure "an important step in ensuring Americans will never again be forced to make an impossibly difficult choice: leave their animal behind while they flee a disaster or take their chances by staying in a disaster-stricken area with their pet."
The Senate bill gives the Federal Emergency Management Agency authority to help develop the plans, and authorizes financial help to states to create emergency shelters for people with animals. (Reuters)

Posted by: skMarine at 18:38 | link | comments
usa

Zvlastny den s Hizballahom

Reporteri CNN v juznom Libanone.

O tom, ako Hizballah inscenuje scenky, ktore budu dobre vyzerat v telke.

mala ochutnavka:

"We're back on the street and on cue, a Hezbollah resistance song is now blaring from an apartment. A young man on the porch dressed in black is giving us the victory sign. I look behind me and there's our Hezbollah guide encouraging the young man to lift his hands higher so our camera can see."

Posted by: skMarine at 07:27 | link | comments (3)
israel