Neproporcna vojna. A?

Thursday, 10 August 2006

: Palestincan Ahmad Samih Khalidi, autor frameworku pre palestinsku obrannu doktrinu sa v Guardiane rozculuje, ze izraelske utoky nezodpovedaju tym hizbalahovskym.

Uz pomerne otrepana tema, ale obsahuje niekolko dobrych konspiracnych teorii.

Takze pekne od zaciatku:

As Lebanon is brought to its knees, and Israeli leaders promise yet more of the same, there is something truly extraordinary about the manner in which the war on Lebanon is being portrayed as a war for Israel's survival, as if it were the existence of the Jewish state that were at risk.

Autor, ktory v neskorsich riadkoch vidi rozne strategie do buducnosti si nie je schopny uvedomit jednu vec: ano, Izraelu naozaj ide o existenciu. Sila Izraela v poslednych desatrociach nelezi len v jeho vojenskej dominancii, ale je aj psychologicka. Vitazstva Izraela v doterajsich vojnach sposobili, ze jeho susedia su presvedceni o jeho neporazitelnosti - a preto uprednostnuju tichu nenavist a spolu - zitie (ta pomlcka je tam umyselne).

A teraz si predstavme, ze by a) Izrael nereagoval na unos vojakov nijako. Hizballah, ale aj Hamas by dostali lahky navod, ako dalej.

b) Izrael by bol nuteny stiahnut sa bez mimoriadneho uspechu. Imidz neporazitelnosti by sa stratil. Kadejaky vymlety pako na Blizkom vychode by si mohol pomysliet, ze uspech Hizballahu moze zopakovat a Izrael by sa dostal do krizovej palby. A tento raz nie state actors ale teroristov ala Hiz. Cize, existencia Izraela je v ohrozeni, pretoze tisic mravcov slona zozerie.

Hizballah bude aj tak hovorit o svojom vitazstve, no skody, ktore na nom Izrael moze zanechat, mnohych od opakovania tohto postupu odradia.

Ano, Hizballah bude aj tak tvrdit, ze tento konflikt vyhral, no skody, ktore mu Izrael sposobuje, budu mat rovnako odstrasujuci vyznam.

Whatever else it may be, this is a war between palpable unequals: a giant nuclear-armed power with the most advanced western military hardware and a potential ground force of up to 650,000 trained men, against a tiny third-world guerrilla force of around 5,000 fighters, armed largely with second-hand former eastern bloc hardware (the first Katyusha rockets were developed in the early 1940s) and castoffs from Iran and Syria. The idea that the latter can pose an existential threat to the former, under any foreseeable circumstances, is risible at best and disingenuous at worst.

Na to snad staci par slov. Vietnam. Afganistan. Irak. A viacere staty, ktorych cele armady si nevedia poradit s gerilou. Nejde o vyzbroj a pocet muzov, ide o taktiku.

The opposite side of this coin is that while Israel's hi-tech "surgical strikes" have killed hundreds more civilians than Hizbullah fighters, the Lebanese resistance's low-tech weapons have killed about three times as many Israeli soldiers as civilians.

Autor je Palestincan, takze vie, ako to funguje. Ak strielam na vojensky tabor, ktory je mimo obyvanych uzemi, zasiahnem koho? Spravne, vojakov. Ak som terorista a vystrelujem rakety zo satnika svojej mamy a dopadne mi tam odvetna raketa, zasiahne koho? A kto za to moze?
To, ze Libanon ma civilnych mrtvych je fakt, ktoremu sa Izrael snazi predist. To, ze civilni mrtvy su aj na juh od hranice, je umysel Hizballahu.

What Israel now seeks is less of a secure border, and more of a major rearrangement of the Lebanese domestic scene that will crush resistance not only in Lebanon, but by extension in Palestine as well, and wherever else it may exist across the seething Arab Muslim world.

Spravne, a to mal Izrael spravit uz davno.Politicka scena, kde jedinym programom vladnej strany je znicenie svojho suseda v civilizovanom svete nema co hladat.

Depopulation is a longstanding Israeli expedient, used sometimes for grand strategic purposes, as in the 1948 war in Palestine, and at other times for less grandiose aims...

Pan Palestincan, kto zacal tu vojnu v roku 1948?

The draft effectively gives immunity to Israel's occupying forces, denies Hizbullah, or any other Lebanese party, the right to resist the continued violation of Lebanese sovereignty and soil, says not a word about an Israeli withdrawal, and does nothing to bring the population back to their homes and thus safeguard Lebanon's domestic balance and political future.

Autor opat raz zabudol, kto tuto vojnu zacal. Cize podla rezolucie Hizballah nema pravo na odpor voci porusovaniu libanonskej suverenity a uzemia. Mysli tym autor, ze na unos vojakov z Izraela a strielanie rakiet uz Hiz pravo mal?

The only conclusion must be that the real purpose of the British-backed Franco-US manoeuvre is a deliberate and calculated western attempt to rescue Israel's ill-conceived war from the jaws of political and moral defeat. It is also meant to threaten the Lebanese with dire consequences for refusing to rise up against the party that is defending their very soil and homes. And it is further intended to send a message to Tehran and Damascus that those who act with such violence in Lebanon, as well as Gaza, Iraq, Afghanistan and elsewhere, are ready to do the same in Iran and Syria as well.

Ano a konecne Zapad neuteka pred poziadavkami ubohych ukrivdenych teroristov.

Far from being a war for its survival, Israel has by its actions over the past month only increased the long-term threat to its own security

Khalidi vie. Podla neho a jemu podobnych jediny sposob, akym si Izrael moze udobrit svojich arabskych susedov, by bola druha Masada.

Hovorit o proporcnej a neproporcnej vojne je totiz hlupost. Ziadna vojna nie je proporcna. Ten, kto vyhra, byva obycajne silnejsi alebo strategickejsie uvazujuci - cize neproporcnost je tam uz by definiton. To, ze zomieraju libanonski civilisti, je smutne a odsudeniahodne. Ale hlavnych zodpovednych treba hladat na severnej strane hranice. Sanci na mier dostali uz dost. Vysmiali sa im.